CCIM Commercial Real Estate Forecast

Speaker:  Dr. Mark Dotzour

  • US economy nearing full employment, having grown slowly but strongly under previous administration from 2007-2008 financial meltdown/recession
  • Higher interest rates in our future, although they will come slowly
  • Economy strengthening which has taken place over past 8 years will lead to labor shortages, wage increases, and some inflation

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Helpful and Interesting Tidbits from Commercial Real Estate Brokers Continuing Education Course-Texas A&M Real Estate Center October 2016

The following “bullet points” are excerpted from a long list of speaker over nineteen hours of presentations:

Investment Climate in Houston:

  • There is ample capital seeking yields…“dry powder” in closed-in funds at all time high; cash more available for mergers & acquisitions, not so much for new construction except retail and industrial
  • Lenders and investors are upping the percentage of capital available to commercial real estate (CRE); however construction debt is difficult in this economic and regulatory climate

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O’Connor Office Forecast Speakers: Chadd Bolding, Colliers International; Ryan Bishop, Stream Realty Partners

Takeaway:  Although office vacancies have not reached the all-time highs attained during the ‘80s Oil Depression in Houston, they have come close.  The consensus is that we ‘hit bottom’ in 2016, but that the recovery will be long and slow, providing financial heartburn for landlords and good opportunities for tenants.

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Leave Yourself Open To Random Encounters and Random Experiences In Your Business and Personal Life


When I was 19 and working for a travel agency which took students to Europe, I was told on the pier in New York that I was the odd man out in our group and would have to share a double cabin with a stranger on the Atlantic crossing-five days.  My first thought:  Cool!

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O’Connor Office Forecast Luncheon-Speakers: Sanford Criner, CBRE; Griff Bandy, NAI Partners; Bruce Rutherford, JLL


Takeaway:  The office segment in Houston has lots of excess due to vast amounts of sublease space being returned to the market by retrenching oil & gas companies.  Return to positive absorption will be 2018 at the earliest.

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